Market Commentary
Global markets – US indices fell 2 days drastically as a rising global trade war spurred biggest lost since pandemic. Dow slipped by 5.5 pct. While Nasdaq tumbled by 5.8 pct.
| Global Indices | % Change | ||
| Last Close | 1 day | YTD | |
| Dow Jones | 38,314 | -5.5 | -9.9 |
| Nasdaq | 15,587 | -5.8 | -19.3 |
| Hang Seng | 20,706 | -9.4 | 3.2 |
| Nikkei | 31,591 | -6.5 | -20.8 |
Commodities – Gold prices fell and stood at USD 3,029 over profit bookings. On the other hand, oil prices fell drastically and stood at USD 63.91/bbl over potential recession risk.
| Commodities % Change | ||
| Last Close | 1 day | |
| Gold ($) | 3,093 | -0.6 |
| Silver ($) | 31.52 | -0.9 |
| Brent Crude ($) | 69.56 | -0.4 |
| Moving Averages | ||
| Nifty 50 | Nifty Bank | |
| 50 DMA | 23,001 | 49,495 |
| 100 DMA | 23,444 | 50,331 |
| 200 DMA | 24,076 | 51,036 |
Asian markets – Asian markets trading in red zone the early morning trade largely following global cues. Hang Seng sharply declined by 9.4 pct. While Nikkei slipped by 6.5 pct.
Indian Indices – India’s equity benchmarks are likely to open gap down by 800-900 points as Gift Nifty indicates. Benchmark indices tumbled on Friday led by broad based sell off in all sectors pressured by global tariff war.
| Indian Market | % Change | ||
| Last Close | 1 day | YTD | |
| Sensex | 75,364 | -1.2 | -3.6 |
| Nifty | 23,904 | -1.5 | -3.1 |
| Nifty Bank | 51,502 | -0.2 | 1.3 |
| Nifty Midcap 100 | 50,645 | -2.9 | -11.5 |
| Nifty Smallcap 100 | 15,675 | -3.6 | -16.5 |
| Institutional Activity | Rs crore | |
| Cash | YTD | |
| FII | -3483 | -158,079 |
| DII | -1720 | 194,663 |
Stocks to watch
Positive Read through
- Jubilant Food – Strong YoY Q4 update, Domino’s like-for-like growth at 12.1 pct.
- OMCs/Paint Cos – Crude falls further, Brent slips below $65/bbl.
- Delhivery – Acquires Ecom Express from Rs. 14.07 bn in cash.
- Utkarsh SFB – Q4 total deposits rose 23.4 pct, CASA deposits up 31 pct YoY.
- Metropolis – Q4 sales growth at 10 pct YoY, operating EBITDA was marginally lower.
- Godrej Prop – To develop a project in Versova, Mumbai, realty potential at Rs. 13.50 bn.
- Nykaa – Consolidated net sales growth expected to be in low-to-mid twenties YoY.
- Godrej Cons – Q4 underlying volume growth expected to be mid-single digits.
- Baazar Style – Aims to be debt-free in 2–3 years, says MD.
- Trent – Standalone Q4 sales grew 28 pct YoY, added 145 Westside & Zudio stores.
- Bajaj Hsg Fin – Q4 disbursements jumped 25.10 pct, AUM rises 25.5 pct YoY.
- Mazagon Dockment – Government to retain oversubscription option in OFS.
- IGL – CNG price hiked by Rs. 1/kg in Delhi and by Rs. 3/kg in other markets.
Negative Read through
- Tata Motors – Discontinues JLR shipments to US on tariff increase.
- ONGC/Oil – Crude falls further, Brent breaches the level of USD 65/bbl.
- Zomato – Rinshul Chandra, COO of food ordering & delivery biz resigns.
- IndusInd BK – Weakest YoY business momentum in nearly 5 years.
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